Obama slipping in polls - both Presidential and North Carolina

Tuesday, April 29, 2008

Data from the Rasmussen Markets also shows that expectations for Obama to be the next President have also declined. As of Tuesday morning, expectations for Obama to win the White House were at 44%.

That’s down from 49% a week ago and 54% a week-and-a-half ago. The decline is likely the result of both the Pennsylvania Primary results and the re-emergence of Jeremiah Wright in the media spotlight.

Polling data released yesterday shows that both Republicans and unaffiliated voters are less likely to believe that Obama is a stronger general election candidate than Clinton.

I'm sure some of this has been seen by many, but this has a bit more info included in it.  Let's hope his polls slip a lot.

Seems there are all sorts of skeletons in Obama's closet.  I think mostly, though, that his choices of the past are coming back to bite him in the butt.  The very racist, American-hating Reverend Wright has caused Obama to have to grasp for the "correct" answer on why he attendedi Wright's church and that is revealing his ability to be shifty and secretive.  He sure tries to spin it, that's for sure.  Just today he's saying how disappointed  he is in Wright and his racist and anti-American comments, that those weren't Obama's sentiments, etc.,  etc., spin, spin.  But the more he talks and back slides it still doesn't make up for the fact that he attended that church for 20 years straight.

His wife's comments...hating America and her racial innuendos.

On top of that there was his comment about how the middle class Pennsylvanians clung to religion and guns. 

His refusal to put his hand to his heart during the playing of the National Anthem.

His refusal to wear an American flag pin, and taking one off after a while that a wounded veteran had handed him.

His stance on illegal immigration - let 'em ALL in!

I'm sure there are many, many more I'm missing.  But I'll say this...I'm so glad I saw the forest for the trees from the very beginning when people were treating him like the new Messiah.  Hogwash!

Obama is getting hammered on talk radio today.  I normally don't listen to Rush Limbaugh but was waiting for Hannity to come on and listened to him - and it was incredible.  I can't see how Obama can get around this.  Hannity also nailed him with these great recordings of all the things Obama has said about his "paster".

Also Lou Dobbs is on now and he is all over illegal immigration.  He is talking to TX and he is hammering the "open borders" gang.

Lady Jane said:

I'm sure some of this has been seen by many, but this has a bit more info included in it.  Let's hope his polls slip a lot.

 

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 Missionaries in Africa can shed some light on one of our Presidential candidates.

"Thanks for sending out an alert about Obama. We are living and working in Kenya for almost twelve years now and know his family (tribe) well. They are the ones who were behind the recent Presidential election chaos here. Thousands of people have been displaced by election violence(over 350,000) and I don't know the last count of the dead.Obama under "friends of Obama" gave almost a million dollars to the opposition campaign who just happened to be his cousin, Raila Odinga, who is a socialist trained in East Germany. He has been trying to bring Kenya down for years and the last president threw him in prison for trying to subvert this country! December 27th elections brought cri es from ODM (Odinga Camp) of rigged election. Obama and Raila speak daily. As we watch Obama rise in the US we are sure that whatever happens, he will use the same tactic, cyring rigged election if he doesn't win and possibly cause a race war in America.

"What we would like you to know is what the American press has been keeping a dirty little secret. Obama IS a muslim and he IS a racist and this is a fullfilllment of the 911 threat that was just the beginning. Jihad is the only true muslim way. We have been working with them for 20 years this July! He is not an American as we know it. Please encourage your friends and associates not to be taken in by those that are promoting him. It is world wide jihad. All our friends in Europe are very disturbed by the muslim infiltration into their countries. By the way, his true name is Barak Hussein Muhammed Obama. Won't that sound sweet to our enemies as they swear him in on the Koran!  God Bless you.

"Pray for us here in Kenya. We are still fighting for our nation to withstand the same kind of assult that every nation, including America, is fighting. Takeover from the outside to fit the new world order. As believers, this means we will be the first targets. Here in Kenya, not one mosque was burned down, but hundreds of churches were burned down, some with people in them, burned alive.   
Jesus Christ is our peace but the new world order of Globalism has infiltrated the church and confused believers into thinking that they can compromise and survive. It won't be so. I will send you a newsletter we sent out in February documenting in a more cohesive manner what I've tried to say in a few paragraphs.
Love, Celeste"

C and L D
About our Father's business!
Luke 2:49b

My friend in Israel believes he is muslim too, I honestly don't know how to explain his rise to such ranks except that people are too willing to 'drink the kool aid' as it were.  And college kids think they are so smart, yea, right since they are half of is base.

I have been saying all along what is with this guy, it is just natural for me to question anything that has too much of a buzz, maybe I am too cynical, but I always have questioned what he was about and was always mad that the media NEVER asked him questions, I just loved those Sat Nite Live paradoies of the tough questions asked to clinton and the softball questions asked of obama, ie is your pillow soft enough? etc...but finally he is getting grilled.

I can just about imagine our "immigration" numbers from Kenya will triple under him and our "money donations" will also....

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows that Barack Obama’s former Pastor, Jeremiah Wright, has had a significant impact on the race for the White House. The news is not good for Obama.

In general election polling John McCain now attracts 46% of the vote while Barack Obama earns 43%. Just before Wright had his press conference on Monday, McCain and Obama were even. A week ago, Obama had a two-point edge. McCain is now tied with Hillary Clinton at 44%. A week ago, McCain had a two-point edge over the former First Lady.

Those figures mean that Clinton now outperforms Obama by three points. A week ago, Obama outperformed Clinton by four. Daily tracking results are updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern Time (see http://rasmussenreports.com/public_co... face="Arial" size="3" color="#3e72ae">recent daily results). New polling in New Hampshire shows that Clinton has gained ground on McCain in the Granite State while Obama is heading in the opposite direction. That poll also found significant voter concerns about Obama and his former Pastor.

In the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination, the Wright impact is especially evident. Clinton now has a statistically insignificant two-point edge over Obama, 46% to 44%. However, that represents a ten-point swing since Wright’s press conference. Before Pastor Wright appeared at the National Press Club, Obama led Clinton by eight points (http://rasmussenreports.com/public_co... face="Arial" size="3" color="#3e72ae">see recent Democratic Nomination results).

In Indiana, Clinton leads Obama by five points.

In http://rasmussenreports.com/public_co... face="Arial" size="3" color="#3e72ae">North Carolina Obama leads. http://rasmussenreports.com/public_co... http://rasmussenreports.com/public_c"... face="Arial" size="3" color="#3e72ae">Rasmussen Markets data shows Obama continues to be the favorite for the Democratic nomination, but expectations have slipped significantly in recent days. Currently, the frontrunner is given a 75.7 % chance of winning.

Among all voters nationwide, McCain is viewed favorably by 51% and unfavorably by 45%. (http://rasmussenreports.com/public_co... face="Arial" size="3" color="#3e72ae">see recent daily favorable ratings). Obama is now viewed favorably by 49% and unfavorably by 48%. For Clinton, the reviews are 44% favorable, 54% unfavorable. At noon Eastern today, Rasmussen Reports will release the President’s Job Approval ratings for April.

The Rasmussen Reports http://rasmussenreports.com/public_co... face="Arial" size="3" color="#3e72ae">Balance of Power Calculator shows Democrats leading in states with 200 Electoral Votes. The GOP has the advantage in states with 189. When “leaners” are added, the Democrats lead 260 to 240 (see summary of recent http://rasmussenreports.com/public_co... face="Arial" size="3" color="#3e72ae">state-by-state results). Data from http://markets.rasmussenreports.com/ http://markets.rasmussenreports.com/ blocked::http://markets.rasmussenreports.com/ http://markets.rasmussenreports.com/ blocked::http://markets.rasmussenreports.com/ http:/">Rasmussen Markets gives Democrats a 59.8 % chance of winning in November.

North Carolina Democratic Primary (Obama used to have a 23% lead)

North Carolina Survey of 831 Likely Dem Primary Voters
May 1, 2008

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of North Carolina’s Presidential Primary, conducted Thursday night, finds Barack Obama leading Hillary Clinton 49% to 40%. Earlier this week, Obama led by fourteen, 51% to 37%. http://rasmussenreports.com/public_co... color="#0000ff">A month ago, Obama led by twenty-three percentage points.

Indiana Survey of 400 Likely Dem Primary Voters
April 29, 2008

Thursday, May 01, 2008

Senator Hillary Clinton leads Senator Barack Obama by five percentage points in the Indiana Democratic Presidential Primary. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of the state finds Clinton attracting 46% of the vote while Obama earns 41%. With just a week to go before Election Day, 13% remain undecided.

Eighty-two percent (82%) of Clinton voters say they are “certain” they will vote for her while 77% of Obama supporters say the same about their decision.

Friday, May 02, 2008

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows John McCain now leads Barack Obama 48% to 42%.

On Monday, immediately before the press conference held by Obama’s former Pastor, Jeremiah Wright, the candidates were tied at 46%.

New Rasmussen Reports polling released today shows that just 32% of voters believe Obama was surprised by Wright’s comments. Most say it’s at least somewhat likely that Obama shares some of Wright’s controversial views.

Against Hillary Clinton, McCain now attracts 45% of the vote while Clinton earns 44%. On the morning of Wright’s press conference, Obama did three points better than Clinton against McCain (see http://rasmussenreports.com/public_co... http://rasmussenreports.com/public_co... face="Arial" size="3" color="#3e72ae">recent daily results).

Now, Clinton outperforms Obama by five for a swing of eight points in just four days.

In the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination, it’s Clinton 46% Obama 44%.

That’s the second straight day that Clinton has held a statistically insignificant two-point edge over Obama.

However, that represents a ten-point swing since Wright’s press conference. Before Wright appeared at the National Press Club, Obama led Clinton by eight points (http://rasmussenreports.com/public_co... http://rasmussenreports.com/public_co... face="Arial" size="3" color="#3e72ae">see recent Democratic Nomination results).

Today at 11:00 a.m. Eastern, Rasmussen Reports will release new polling data for the http://rasmussenreports.com/public_co... http://rasmussenreports.com/public_co... face="Arial" size="3" color="#800080">North Carolina Presidential Primary.

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Saturday shows Hillary Clinton and John McCain essentially tied—Clinton attracts 45% of the vote while McCain earns 44%.

At the same time, McCain leads Barack Obama 48% to 43% (see http://rasmussenreports.com/public_co... face="Arial" size="3" color="#3e72ae">recent daily results). This has been a difficult week for Obama. When the week began, he was even with McCain and outperformed Clinton in general election match-ups.

In the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination, it’s Clinton 47% Obama 44%. That’s the third straight day that Clinton has held a slight edge over Obama (http://rasmussenreports.com/public_co... color="#3e72ae">see recent Democratic Nomination results).

Last Monday, Obama led by eight percentage points. Tracking results are updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern Time. Today, at noon Eastern, Rasmussen Reports will release new polling data for the Oregon Presidential Primary.

While McCain is very competitive with both Democrats, the Republican label is struggling. The partisan gap—the gap between the number who say they’re a Democrat and the number who say they’re a Republican has grown to the largest level ever recorded by Rasmussen Reports. Democrats now enjoy a ten-point advantage, 41.4% to 31.4%.

Among all voters nationwide, McCain is viewed favorably by 52% and unfavorably by 45%. (http://rasmussenreports.com/public_co... face="Arial" size="3" color="#3e72ae">see recent daily favorable ratings). Obama is now viewed favorably by 49% and unfavorably by 49%.

Survey of 800 Likely Voters
April 30-May 1, 2008

Tuesday, April 29, 2008 - Currently, the frontrunner is given a 77.1 % chance of victory.

Wednesday, April 30, 2008 - Currently, the frontrunner is given a 75.6 % chance of winning.

Thursday, May 1, 2008 - Currently, the frontrunner is given a 75.7 % chance of winning.

Saturday, May 03, 2008  - Currently, the frontrunner is given a 73.7 % chance of winning.  

4 days dropped 4 points -

Oregon Survey of 867 Likely Dem Primary Voters
May 1, 2008

North Carolina Survey of 831 Likely Dem Primary Voters
May 1, 2008

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of North Carolina’s Presidential Primary, conducted Thursday night, finds Barack Obama leading Hillary Clinton 49% to 40%.

Earlier this week, Obama led by fourteen, 51% to 37%.

http://rasmussenreports.com/public_co... color="#0000ff">A month ago, Obama led by twenty-three percentage points.

The demographic results in North Carolina are similar to the dynamics seen nationally and in most primaries—Clinton leads by twenty-three points among White voters while Obama leads 74% to 10% among African-Americans. Clinton leads among senior citizens, the candidates split those in the 50-64 age range, and Obama leads among younger voters.

Eighty percent (80%) have followed news stories about Barack Obama’s former Pastor, Jeremiah Wright. Forty-three percent (43%) believe Obama denounced Wright because he was outraged while 40% believe political convenience was the motivation. Seventy percent (70%) of Clinton supporters say Obama was politically motivated. Sixty-nine percent (69%) of Obama supporters say their candidate was outraged by Wright.

Forty percent (40%) say it’s at least somewhat likely that Obama shares some of Wright’s controversial views about the United States. That figure includes 62% of Clinton voters.

Overall, 15% of Likely Democratic Primary Voters in North Carolina agree with Wright’s comments about the U.S. That figure includes 22% of Obama voters. Wright himself is viewed favorably by 15% of Likely North Carolina Primary Voters.

Nationally, in the wake of Wright’s Monday Press Conference, Obama has lost his lead over Clinton in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.

Most voters across the nation believe that Obama denounced Wright for political convenience.

Obama is viewed favorably by 69% of the state’s Likely Primary Voters. That’s down two points since Monday and down six points over the past month..

Clinton is viewed favorably by 61%. Her total is down one from Monday and down five since a month ago.

Among Clinton voters, Obama is viewed favorably by 35%. Among Obama voters, Clinton is viewed favorably by 37%.

Sixty-nine percent (69%) of the Likely Primary Voters say they are at least somewhat likely to vote for Clinton against McCain. Twenty-five percent (25%) are not. Seventy-one percent (71%) are likely to vote for Obama in the general election while 27% say they are not likely to do so.