Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby Daily Tracking Poll: Clinton, Huckabee Hold Ground Versus Opponents
Top three Dems remain in tight contest; Romney and McCain drop slightly on GOP side
UTICA, New York – The race for the Democratic presidential nomination tightened slightly over the last 24 hours, but Senator Hillary Clinton retained her edge over rivals Barack Obama and John Edwards, a new Reuters/C–SPAN/Zogby daily telephone tracking poll in Iowa shows.
Clinton held steady at 30%, but maintained a four–point edge over Obama and a five-point edge over Edwards, who both held steady over the last day, according to the latest Zogby survey, which was conducted using live telephone operators in the Zogby call center in Upstate New York. Obama continued to perform very well among younger likely Democratic caucus-goers, while Clinton enjoys strong support from older voters. Among men, Edwards leads, while Clinton leads among women.
On the Republican side, Mitt Romney, the former governor of Massachusetts, continued to slip behind Mike Huckabee, the former governor of Arkansas. Huckabee retained 29% support among likely Republican caucus–goers, while Romney slipped from 27% to 25% support. After a good day Sunday, Arizona Sen. John McCain lost ground Monday but still holds on to third place. Among Democrats, 7% were yet undecided just three days ahead of the caucuses. Among Republicans, 6% were yet unsure.
Huckabee’s support spans all age groups, but he is particularly strong among voters under age 30.
Democrats – Iowa Tracking
12–28/31
12–27/30
12–26/29
Clinton
30%
30%
31%
Obama
26%
26%
27%
Edwards
25%
26%
24%
Richardson
5%
5%
5%
Biden
5%
5%
5%
Dodd
1%
1%
1%
Kucinich
1%
1%
<1%
The telephone tracking survey of Democrats included 925 likely caucus–goers surveyed over three days. The margin of error for the Democratic survey was +/– 3.3 percentage points. For the telephone survey of likely Republican caucus–goers, the sample included 903 people over three days, carrying a margin of error of +/– 3.3 percentage points.
For crosstab data and more details, including more analysis from Pollster John Zogby, subscribe to the Reuters/C–SPAN/Zogby polling series at www.zogby.com.